Resende vs CEAC / Araruama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
POR
3 - 2
RES
72%
19%
9%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
RES
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
RES
0 - 1
DEM
32%
27%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 1
RES
68%
21%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
RES
0 - 2
AUD
40%
27%
34%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
ADC
0 - 0
SAM
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ADC
0 - 0
PER
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
PER
1 - 2
ADC
48%
24%
29%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ADC
1 - 1
DUQ
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
DUQ
0 - 0
ADC
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |