Resende vs Aracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 3
RES
22%
24%
53%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
RES
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
RES
1 - 0
ARA
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
RES
1 - 0
TUP
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
RES
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
NOV
51%
25%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
RES
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
ARA
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 2
ARA
30%
26%
45%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 5
TUP
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -2 |