Resende vs Gondomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
54.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
10º
14º
13º
38
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 1
RES
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SAL
3 - 1
RES
80%
14%
5%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
RES
2 - 2
CAS
26%
23%
51%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RES
2 - 2
REB
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BMA
0 - 0
RES
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GON
1 - 2
SAL
40%
25%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GON
0 - 1
REB
70%
18%
11%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 1
GON
15%
24%
61%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GON
2 - 2
VAL
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAM
0 - 2
GON
32%
28%
40%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |