Central African Republic vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
74.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central African Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
RSA
2 - 0
CTA
84%
13%
3%
|
17 | 83 | 66 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
BFA
3 - 1
CTA
84%
12%
4%
|
17 | 66 | 49 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CTA
1 - 0
BFA
10%
18%
72%
|
16 | 66 | 50 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
CTA
1 - 1
EGY
1%
14%
85%
|
15 | 89 | 74 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
EGY
2 - 3
CTA
98%
2%
0%
|
14 | 89 | 75 | +1 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
LSO
0 - 2
RSA
11%
21%
69%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
RSA
2 - 0
CTA
84%
13%
3%
|
83 | 17 | 66 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
RSA
1 - 1
MLI
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
RSA
44%
26%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
RSA
2 - 0
ANG
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |