Central African Republic vs Papua New Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central African Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
CTA
6 - 0
BTN
52%
21%
27%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
MLI
1 - 1
CTA
88%
10%
3%
|
39 | 79 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
COM
4 - 2
CTA
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
GHA
2 - 1
CTA
87%
10%
3%
|
40 | 81 | 41 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
CTA
1 - 2
ANG
9%
18%
73%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
LKA
0 - 0
PNG
25%
20%
55%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PNG
0 - 1
VAN
27%
22%
51%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
PNG
1 - 3
NCL
19%
20%
62%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PNG
1 - 3
SOL
26%
22%
52%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
MAS
10 - 0
PNG
66%
19%
16%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |