CAF Qualifying 1ra Ronda Final
Global 1-3
Central African Republic vs Guinea-Bisáu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
66.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central African Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CTA
1 - 2
ETH
9%
16%
75%
|
16 | 62 | 46 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 2
CTA
75%
18%
7%
|
17 | 66 | 49 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CTA
0 - 3
RSA
7%
18%
75%
|
17 | 83 | 66 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
RSA
2 - 0
CTA
84%
13%
3%
|
17 | 83 | 66 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
BFA
3 - 1
CTA
84%
12%
4%
|
17 | 66 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea-Bisáu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
CMR
1 - 0
GNB
90%
8%
2%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
GNB
0 - 1
CMR
6%
18%
76%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
TOG
1 - 0
GNB
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
GNB
1 - 1
TOG
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
GNB
0 - 2
ANG
20%
23%
57%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |