Central African Republic vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central African Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
CTA
4 - 0
PNG
43%
24%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
CTA
6 - 0
BTN
52%
21%
27%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
MLI
1 - 1
CTA
88%
10%
3%
|
39 | 79 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
COM
4 - 2
CTA
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
GHA
2 - 1
CTA
87%
10%
3%
|
40 | 81 | 41 | -1 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MUS
1 - 2
CHA
22%
24%
53%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
MUS
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 3
MAD
14%
20%
66%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
MLI
3 - 1
CHA
84%
13%
4%
|
47 | 79 | 32 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
SDN
1 - 0
CHA
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |