WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda Semi-finals
Global 2-5
Central African Republic vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
71.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central African Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAF
2 - 0
COD
4%
12%
84%
|
15 | 69 | 54 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
AGO
4 - 0
CAF
83%
13%
4%
|
15 | 72 | 57 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 0
CAF
86%
11%
2%
|
15 | 81 | 66 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
GNB
3 - 1
CAF
78%
15%
6%
|
15 | 54 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CAF
0 - 0
GNB
13%
21%
66%
|
15 | 54 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MDG
0 - 0
AGO
19%
25%
57%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
MDV
0 - 4
MDG
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
COD
2 - 1
MDG
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
MDG
2 - 1
BWA
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
MDG
2 - 3
NAM
32%
26%
41%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |