Central African Republic vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
57.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central African Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
GHA
4 - 3
CTA
86%
11%
3%
|
43 | 79 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
CTA
1 - 0
CHA
32%
25%
44%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
CTA
4 - 0
PNG
43%
24%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
CTA
6 - 0
BTN
52%
21%
27%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
MLI
1 - 1
CTA
88%
10%
3%
|
39 | 79 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 3
ANG
16%
26%
58%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
NAM
2 - 1
LSO
59%
23%
17%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 1
SYC
71%
20%
10%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 1
RWA
30%
29%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ZIM
0 - 2
LSO
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |