Central African Republic vs Gambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
79%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
12%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central African Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
COD
4 - 1
CTA
91%
8%
2%
|
21 | 75 | 54 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CTA
3 - 1
ANG
5%
13%
82%
|
20 | 71 | 51 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
CTA
2 - 1
MAD
9%
18%
73%
|
19 | 56 | 37 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 1
CTA
79%
15%
6%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
MAD
2 - 2
CTA
79%
15%
6%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CMR
2 - 0
GAM
71%
20%
9%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 4
RSA
16%
24%
61%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 0
ZAM
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 0
MTN
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
MTN
2 - 1
GAM
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |