Central African Republic vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
75.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central African Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 2
CTA
75%
18%
7%
|
15 | 65 | 50 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CTA
0 - 3
RSA
7%
18%
75%
|
15 | 83 | 68 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
RSA
2 - 0
CTA
84%
13%
3%
|
15 | 82 | 67 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
BFA
3 - 1
CTA
84%
12%
4%
|
15 | 65 | 50 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CTA
1 - 0
BFA
10%
18%
72%
|
14 | 65 | 51 | +1 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
ETH
2 - 1
RSA
18%
25%
58%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 0
ETH
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ETH
1 - 0
BOT
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
ETH
0 - 2
NGA
13%
22%
65%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
BFA
4 - 0
ETH
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |