Rentistas vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rentistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MWA
1 - 0
REN
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
REN
3 - 0
TOR
22%
25%
53%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
REN
71%
19%
9%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
DEP
2 - 1
REN
54%
25%
22%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
REN
3 - 0
CSC
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PRO
3 - 1
SUD
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CER
1 - 1
PRO
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 0
ATE
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 2
DAN
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LUZ
1 - 1
PRO
48%
28%
23%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |