Rentistas vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
59.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rentistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 0
REN
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
REN
2 - 1
BVS
50%
25%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ETS
2 - 0
REN
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
REN
1 - 0
CER
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
RIV
2 - 0
REN
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
RIV
0 - 4
PEÑ
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
DAN
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
RAC
2 - 2
PEÑ
23%
24%
53%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
DEF
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 0
PEÑ
18%
23%
60%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | -1 |