Rentistas vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
61.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rentistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
REN
1 - 1
HFC
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
JUN
1 - 1
REN
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
REN
3 - 0
ROC
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
REN
1 - 0
CSC
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
CSM
0 - 2
REN
58%
24%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
RAC
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
MWA
1 - 2
NAC
29%
27%
45%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
PRO
2 - 3
NAC
16%
23%
62%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
RAC
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 0
NAC
17%
24%
59%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |