Renova vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
16.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
HTR
2 - 0
REN
33%
29%
38%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
PEL
0 - 1
REN
27%
29%
45%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SIL
2 - 0
REN
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
REN
1 - 0
MET
49%
28%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
RAB
1 - 1
REN
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
TIK
4 - 0
VAR
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
VAR
2 - 1
SIL
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
MET
1 - 0
VAR
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
RAB
2 - 0
VAR
61%
22%
16%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
VAR
4 - 1
TIK
54%
22%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |