North Macedonia Cup Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Renova vs KF Shkëndija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
67%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SHK
5 - 0
REN
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
REN
3 - 1
SHK
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -7 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 0
REN
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
SHK
1 - 1
REN
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
REN
1 - 0
PEL
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SHK
5 - 0
REN
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
FKS
0 - 0
SHK
19%
24%
57%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +12 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SHK
1 - 0
SIL
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
SHK
1 - 1
REN
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
RAB
0 - 2
SHK
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |