UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Renova vs HNK Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
48.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
RIJ
0 - 0
REN
76%
16%
9%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
CEM
0 - 3
REN
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
REN
2 - 0
SHK
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
SIL
3 - 0
REN
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
REN
0 - 0
NAP
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
RIJ
0 - 0
REN
76%
16%
9%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
DZG
6 - 1
RIJ
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
RIJ
2 - 0
HNK
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
RIJ
5 - 2
MEI
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
RIJ
1 - 1
HKS
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |