UEFA Intertoto Cup Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Renova vs Bnei Sakhnin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
REN
2 - 0
RIJ
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
RIJ
0 - 0
REN
76%
16%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
CEM
0 - 3
REN
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
REN
2 - 0
SHK
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
SIL
3 - 0
REN
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bnei Sakhnin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2008 |
BEI
1 - 2
BSA
63%
23%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
BSA
1 - 2
ASH
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 2
BSA
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
BSA
0 - 1
HAP
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
MTA
3 - 1
BSA
52%
27%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |