Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-3
Renova vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 4
REN
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
REN
1 - 1
SHK
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2011 |
MET
0 - 0
REN
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
REN
4 - 2
TET
52%
27%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
REN
2 - 2
RAB
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
GLE
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GLE
2 - 1
LIS
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
LIN
3 - 2
GLE
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
36%
27%
38%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |