Renova vs Gostivar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SHK
0 - 0
REN
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
REN
3 - 0
GOS
69%
19%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MET
1 - 0
REN
49%
25%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
REN
3 - 1
BRE
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
HTR
4 - 0
REN
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gostivar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
GOS
0 - 1
HTR
14%
25%
62%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
REN
3 - 0
GOS
69%
19%
11%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
GOS
0 - 2
GOR
28%
28%
45%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
MAK
4 - 0
GOS
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
GOS
1 - 2
VAR
19%
29%
53%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |