Renofa Yamaguchi vs V-Varen Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renofa Yamaguchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
CER
2 - 4
REN
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
REN
0 - 1
ZWE
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
REN
2 - 0
THE
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
GIF
1 - 2
REN
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
REN
4 - 2
JEF
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
VVA
1 - 1
MON
67%
22%
11%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
VVA
0 - 3
FAG
31%
31%
39%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
GIR
2 - 2
VVA
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
VVA
1 - 3
YOK
40%
30%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 0
VVA
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |