Renofa Yamaguchi vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renofa Yamaguchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
ZWE
3 - 2
REN
40%
25%
34%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
REN
0 - 1
FAG
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
YOK
1 - 0
REN
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
REN
0 - 1
MAC
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
MON
3 - 2
REN
36%
27%
38%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
THE
0 - 2
MAT
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
THE
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
THE
0 - 2
TOK
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
AVI
1 - 3
THE
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
KAM
1 - 2
THE
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |