Reno FC vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
30%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
TRI
1 - 2
REN
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
REN
0 - 1
HAR
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
ARN
0 - 0
REN
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
REN
0 - 0
UWI
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2018 |
REN
0 - 0
POR
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
MON
2 - 2
WAT
51%
27%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
WAT
1 - 0
UWI
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
WAT
1 - 0
SSC
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
WAT
0 - 0
CAV
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2018 |
LIO
0 - 0
WAT
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |