Reno FC vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
36.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CAV
0 - 0
REN
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 1
REN
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
REN
0 - 3
DFC
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 1
REN
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
REN
2 - 2
LIO
29%
30%
41%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
TRI
2 - 1
MON
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 2
ARN
39%
27%
35%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
DFC
2 - 1
TRI
42%
29%
30%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
TRI
2 - 0
LIO
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 1
REN
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |