Reno FC vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
REN
2 - 2
POR
33%
28%
40%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
BOY
3 - 0
REN
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
REN
1 - 1
LIO
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
ARN
6 - 0
REN
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
REN
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 0
UWI
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 0
POR
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 2
LIO
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
TRI
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
WAT
0 - 1
TRI
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |