Reno FC vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
50%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
REN
1 - 2
ARN
37%
30%
34%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
MON
2 - 0
REN
64%
21%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
REN
0 - 1
HIG
45%
28%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LIO
1 - 0
REN
59%
25%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
REN
1 - 1
SPO
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
LIO
1 - 0
TRI
35%
30%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 0
HIG
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 0
SPO
69%
21%
11%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
TRI
22%
28%
50%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 2
POR
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |