Reno FC vs Mount Pleasant analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
48.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
DFC
3 - 0
REN
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
REN
1 - 2
MON
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
WAT
1 - 0
REN
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
REN
2 - 4
POR
19%
24%
57%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
UWI
2 - 2
REN
62%
24%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mount Pleasant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
MPA
0 - 0
CAV
58%
26%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
LIO
0 - 1
MPA
38%
31%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MPA
2 - 1
HAR
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MPA
2 - 1
TRI
53%
26%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
DFC
1 - 2
MPA
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |