Reno 1868 vs Sacramento Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reno 1868
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
REN
1 - 1
SEA
73%
16%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
REN
7 - 3
ATL
52%
22%
26%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SAC
2 - 3
REN
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
TUL
1 - 1
REN
27%
24%
50%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
COL
0 - 0
REN
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
ARI
1 - 3
SAC
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
SAC
3 - 1
FRA
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SAC
2 - 3
REN
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SEA
1 - 2
SAC
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
SAC
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |