Rende vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
62.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
REN
30%
28%
42%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
REN
1 - 0
VIG
57%
24%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAV
0 - 3
REN
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
REN
1 - 1
LEO
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
REN
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
SIR
2 - 0
VIG
81%
14%
5%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAV
1 - 1
SIR
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SIR
2 - 0
LEO
81%
14%
5%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 3
SIR
17%
23%
59%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SIR
3 - 0
SAR
79%
15%
6%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |