Rende vs Noto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
REG
2 - 1
REN
65%
22%
14%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
REN
1 - 2
AGR
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
REN
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
REN
0 - 0
SCO
68%
18%
13%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 1
REN
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 2
VIG
53%
25%
22%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAV
2 - 1
NOT
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NOT
2 - 0
LEO
36%
28%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 0
NOT
40%
24%
37%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NOT
0 - 0
SAR
42%
27%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |