Rende vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VIG
3 - 1
REN
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
REN
1 - 2
CAV
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 0
REN
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
REN
2 - 1
ROC
47%
25%
27%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAR
3 - 2
REN
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 0
VIG
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAV
2 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
LEO
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 2
MAR
55%
21%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
5 - 0
SAR
23%
24%
54%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +5 |