Rende vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
49.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
REN
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
REN
1 - 0
FCC
38%
29%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 4
REN
36%
27%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
REN
0 - 3
TAR
48%
27%
25%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 0
REN
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CAT
2 - 0
VER
20%
21%
59%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
USF
1 - 3
CAT
71%
17%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
CAT
3 - 0
COM
51%
24%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
CAT
2 - 1
SIE
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
SIE
1 - 0
CAT
30%
28%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |