Rende vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SMC
3 - 2
REN
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
REN
0 - 0
ASD
54%
24%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
REN
5 - 1
SAN
57%
23%
21%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
REN
0 - 1
CIT
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 1
REN
81%
14%
5%
|
30 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
USC
2 - 2
ACI
21%
24%
55%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CIT
2 - 0
USC
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
USC
0 - 0
CAV
14%
21%
65%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 2
USC
54%
22%
25%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
USC
1 - 3
RAA
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |