Rende vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
49.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
REN
1 - 0
RIE
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 0
REN
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
REN
0 - 3
BAR
14%
25%
61%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
REG
4 - 1
REN
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
REN
1 - 0
PIC
36%
27%
36%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 3
BAR
21%
26%
53%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
TER
0 - 1
CAS
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 3
PAG
65%
21%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
FCC
2 - 0
CAS
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 1
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |