Rende vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
PAT
1 - 3
REN
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
REN
0 - 1
CAV
18%
22%
60%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
LUC
2 - 0
REN
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
REN
1 - 1
LAT
20%
21%
59%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
REN
1 - 2
GEL
21%
28%
51%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CIT
0 - 1
ACI
32%
26%
43%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ACI
1 - 2
CAV
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
CSA
1 - 1
ACI
21%
25%
54%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ACI
1 - 1
PAT
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
LAT
1 - 3
ACI
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |