Renate vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
47.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
REN
0 - 5
TOR
4%
14%
82%
|
44 | 84 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
LIV
2 - 1
REN
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
TUT
2 - 2
REN
35%
28%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
REN
0 - 2
COM
23%
27%
49%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
USA
1 - 0
REN
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
SIR
0 - 2
CAS
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SIR
0 - 1
FRA
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAT
3 - 1
SIR
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SIR
2 - 0
PAG
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FCC
1 - 0
SIR
25%
27%
48%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |