Renate vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 2
REN
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 0
REN
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
REN
0 - 2
GER
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ABN
0 - 0
REN
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
REN
2 - 0
MAN
15%
23%
62%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
FOL
2 - 2
NOV
13%
19%
68%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 1
FIO
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 3
NOV
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
FIO
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TRI
2 - 2
NOV
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |