Renate vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
64.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
REG
4 - 0
REN
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
REN
0 - 2
ACL
29%
27%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
POR
0 - 0
REN
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
REN
0 - 0
CTT
14%
23%
63%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
REN
1 - 1
GER
29%
27%
44%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CTT
3 - 1
PAD
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PAD
0 - 2
FCS
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FER
1 - 1
PAD
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PAD
1 - 0
ACL
74%
18%
8%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PAD
2 - 0
PIA
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |