Renate vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
63.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
REN
1 - 1
GER
29%
27%
44%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 0
REN
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
REN
0 - 1
ACL
30%
27%
43%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 1
REN
44%
26%
29%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SAS
0 - 1
REN
48%
26%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CTT
2 - 1
CUN
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 0
CTT
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
TER
0 - 2
CTT
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CTT
15 - 0
POT
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
NAP
5 - 1
CTT
86%
10%
4%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |