Renate vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.6%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
50.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ACL
1 - 3
REN
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
REN
0 - 2
POR
23%
27%
50%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CTT
4 - 2
REN
78%
15%
7%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
GER
1 - 2
REN
63%
22%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
REN
1 - 1
MAN
35%
28%
37%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
REG
1 - 1
MAN
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
GER
1 - 1
REG
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
REG
4 - 0
PIA
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
REG
2 - 0
ACL
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 0
REG
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |