CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 0-4
Renacimiento FC vs Al Ahly SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
74.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renacimiento FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
REN
1 - 0
STA
9%
17%
75%
|
23 | 69 | 46 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
STA
2 - 1
REN
85%
11%
4%
|
23 | 69 | 46 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
AFR
2 - 2
REN
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 63 | 40 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
REN
0 - 0
AFR
17%
21%
62%
|
22 | 63 | 41 | +1 |
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
ASA
0 - 3
ALA
36%
28%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALI
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ALM
0 - 2
ALA
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
ALA
2 - 0
ISM
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
ALA
3 - 0
TUS
71%
19%
11%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |