Remo vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
38.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
2º
3º
3º
5
5º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
7 | 11 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 9 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
|
3º
|
6 | 9 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 8 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
|
4º
|
5 | 8 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 7 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
2 | 5 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 5 |
8º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
29.5% | 23.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
70.5% | 76.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Remo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
VOL
1 - 1
REM
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
REM
0 - 0
VOL
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 2
REM
53%
27%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
REM
2 - 1
BOT
43%
29%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ECS
0 - 0
REM
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAO
41%
28%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
BOT
51%
28%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 2
REM
53%
27%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VOL
3 - 1
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLO
72%
21%
7%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |