Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 3-0
Remo vs AE Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Remo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
REM
2 - 1
IAC
54%
22%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
REA
0 - 0
REM
14%
20%
66%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
REC
1 - 1
REM
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 4
REM
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FRA
2 - 0
REM
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AE Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
REA
0 - 0
REM
14%
20%
66%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
ARO
1 - 1
REA
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 3
REA
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
REA
3 - 0
SAO
30%
23%
46%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +3 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
REA
1 - 0
NAU
30%
23%
47%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |