Rekord Bielsko Biała vs GKS Pogon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
12º
17º
14º
49
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 38 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 33 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 91.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
37.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rekord Bielsko Biała
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 4
REK
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
REK
0 - 1
HUT
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 2
REK
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
REK
2 - 4
LKS
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ZAG
3 - 3
REK
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
GKS Pogon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
PGM
1 - 1
GDA
23%
21%
56%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PGM
2 - 1
OLI
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PGM
1 - 1
CHO
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
WIE
1 - 1
PGM
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PGM
2 - 1
WIS
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |