Rekord Bielsko Biała vs LKS Lodz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
12º
17º
14º
23
5º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 38 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 33 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 50% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation
|
37.5% | 16.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rekord Bielsko Biała
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ZAG
3 - 3
REK
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
REK
2 - 3
RES
36%
26%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TSP
5 - 1
REK
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 1
REK
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
REK
1 - 2
ZAG
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
LKS Lodz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
LKS
2 - 4
OLI
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ZAG
2 - 2
LKS
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LKS
0 - 1
CHO
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
RST
1 - 2
LKS
53%
22%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WIE
4 - 0
LKS
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -2 |