Rekord Bielsko Biała vs Hutnik Krakow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
12º
17º
15º
16
7º
18º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 69 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 62 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 58 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 58 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 56 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 55 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 55 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 44 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 44 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 39 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
|
16º
|
5 | 38 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 35 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 27 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 25 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 7.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5.5% | 39% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 47.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
26.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
34.5% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rekord Bielsko Biała
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 2
REK
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
REK
2 - 4
LKS
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ZAG
3 - 3
REK
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
REK
2 - 3
RES
36%
26%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TSP
5 - 1
REK
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hutnik Krakow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HUT
1 - 1
OLI
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ZAG
2 - 3
HUT
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HUT
3 - 2
CHO
38%
25%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WIE
7 - 1
HUT
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HUT
1 - 0
WIS
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |