Rekord Bielsko Biała vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
2º
14º
3º
51
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rekord Bielsko Biała
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
KLU
0 - 2
REK
17%
20%
63%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GOR
0 - 5
REK
12%
19%
69%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
REK
2 - 2
LKS
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PAW
2 - 1
REK
21%
22%
56%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
REK
2 - 0
CAR
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GTG
1 - 2
GOR
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LKS
0 - 1
GTG
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GTG
2 - 2
PAW
27%
25%
49%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
GTG
33%
22%
45%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KSP
2 - 3
GTG
29%
22%
50%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |