Reinmeer Aomori vs Criacao Shinjuku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
12º
6º
17
14º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 62 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 53 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 52 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 49 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 49 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 44 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 44 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 42 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 41 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 40 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 34 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 26 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 21 |
16º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 56.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 26.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 17% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reinmeer Aomori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
REA
0 - 2
OSV
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SON
1 - 2
REA
37%
29%
34%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
REA
1 - 1
SUN
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TCF
0 - 0
REA
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
REA
4 - 1
YOK
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Criacao Shinjuku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TCF
0 - 0
CRS
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TIA
0 - 0
CRS
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
CRS
1 - 0
MIO
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VER
1 - 1
CRS
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CRS
0 - 1
HON
20%
23%
58%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |