Reinickendorfer Füchse vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
67%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reinickendorfer Füchse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
HAN
1 - 0
REI
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
REI
4 - 0
STA
27%
24%
49%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +3 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
REI
1 - 4
MSV
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
OPT
1 - 1
REI
48%
25%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
REI
0 - 3
BAB
22%
24%
55%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2003 |
FCN
2 - 2
COT
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2003 |
M05
2 - 1
FCN
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
FCN
2 - 0
WAC
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2003 |
KSC
2 - 3
FCN
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
FCN
0 - 1
LEV
22%
23%
55%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |