Reinach vs Timau Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
61.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reinach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
REI
2 - 2
BIN
20%
19%
61%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 2
REI
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
REI
2 - 3
ALL
19%
19%
63%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
GUM
3 - 2
REI
70%
16%
14%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
REI
0 - 2
MOU
21%
20%
59%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Timau Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
TIM
3 - 1
TAV
33%
22%
45%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BIN
2 - 1
TIM
43%
22%
35%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
TIM
1 - 1
DOR
42%
23%
36%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ALL
3 - 1
TIM
50%
21%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
TIM
4 - 0
GUM
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |